The what if syndrome….

It seems to me from the reactions of the people to Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi’s decision to dismiss Marshal Hussein Tantawi and Commander in Chief Sami Anan, that we as Egyptians tend to overanalyze subjectively to what we think is the right.

Some say the decisions taken by the president were plotted with the generals to end their service with a “safe exit”.  It is the perfect scenario – the generals step out of the equation, rest in peace without being held accountable and everybody is happy. Why didn’t the generals resign then? Why were they dismissed? Some say that the generals were taken by surprise. Suddenly, President Morsi comes out and dismisses the generals, in an uproar revolutionary manner. Why didn’t the generals react then? Is there any speculation that they knew of the decisions? Back to the first scenario with speculation.

In my last writing I mentioned that due to the happenings of Rafah, and after the dismissal of important figures in the Egyptian security apparatus, the Muslim Brotherhood is showing hostility against the military in an attempt to crack and disable it. The big two are now out , and new figures are sworn in.

Some questions pose themselves: What are the affiliations of the people chosen to fill in the blanks? Do they have any political amibitions? On what basis was the President’s choice of these newly sworn in officials? What was the methodology of his choice? Instinct?

Two other issues that arises from these decisions are:

1) Was it the right timing to change the command line of the military with such severe circumstances on our boarders? The situation in Sinai does not amount to other failures and what would be the reaction not only of the Egyptian people but from other neighboring countries if things go worse than they already are.

2) With these decisions, it could not be denied that President Morsi has established his legitimacy, regardless of whether it was a plotted or a revolutionary decision-taking process. However, his legitimacy took it a notch further. President Morsi now holds the legislative power, without an elected Parliament, as well as the executive power.

3) Parliamentary Elections will not take place until the constitution is done and is ready for the people vote on through a referendum. If the current constitutional drafting committee is deemed unconstitutional, the President shall form another one in 15 days to start from scratch. After the referendum is done, 2 months later elections will take place. So we are talking about at least 6 months.

Now, what if we are witnessing the beginning Morsi evolution into another Mubarak in this period of time?  Stay tuned for the answer in my next writing.